Just yesterday the Association of Bureau De Change assured Nigerians that next week the Naira will strengthen. Unfortunately, the naira is still sliding as it hits a new record low of 436 against the United States dollar at parallel market, down from 428 on Wednesday, as dollar shortages on the official market persist.
The development came amid depleting external reserves, which stood at $24.8bn on Monday. It also came two days after the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policy Committee met and left the lending rate and other key economic indicators unchanged.
The latest data posted on the CBN website showed that the foreign exchange reserves were down by 3.4 per cent from a month ago to its lowest level in more than 11 years, as the apex bank sells the greenback at the interbank market to support the naira.
At the interbank official market, the naira was quoted at 313.07 to the dollar on Thursday, down from 310.08 on Wednesday.
Economic and currency analysts said there had been no significant policy response to the fall in the reserves, further fuelling the concerns.
An analyst at Afrinvest, a local research and investment advisory firm, Mr. Ayodeji Ebo, said it was difficult to trace the reason for the sustained fall in the value of the naira after the MPC’s decision to keep the interest rate unchanged.
He said the development could be traced to the decision or the imminent maturity of the CBN’s forward contract.
“Most stakeholders were expecting the MPC to fine tune the interest rate. This was not done and the fall could be a reaction to the development. It could also be that some people are trying to keep the dollar ahead of the CBN’s forward contract that is about to mature,” he stated.
The Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria on Thursday predicted that the naira would recover by Monday due to the introduction of Travelex, a licensed forex dealer.
Travelex, an international money transfer organisation, was officially directed by the CBN to distribute forex to the BDC operators by Monday.
The President, ABCON, Alhaji Aminu Gwadabe, was quoted by the News Agency of Nigeria to have said in Lagos that a licensed forex dealer would enhance transparency in the distribution network.
He said that forex distribution would be efficient and uniform across ABCON members, unlike what was obtainable in the past.
According to him, Travelex has the technology to sell forex to about 1,000 BDCs in a couple of hours, which is a major advantage.